Friday, November 28, 2025

Most girls are single and many never marry

 

How to interpret this graph? It does not show that 50% of women never marry. It says that from the female population 18-44, half are still unmarried. Unsurprisingly, 90% of 18-year-olds are single, and it could well be that at age 44, all are married. If so, the graph is misleading and worthless.    

I worked with several nice women at the University of Tel Aviv, and never bedded any of them. In moments of unavoidable pre-intimacy, they talked (not to me but for themselves) about how difficult it had been for them to get married, and how they would never risk having an affair. The point is that I was not flirting; the girls were disciplining themselves - not me. Perhaps they were begging me not to try, but I was so naive that I never knew and never even tried.      

Elon Musk dixit

 


Nothing else matters if birth rate is far below replacement rate

Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Zionist Robot

Mentibus - the first Israeli robot. Non-military. 170 cm 70 kg eyes 360 degrees. "Any customer can have a Mentibus painted any color that he wants so long as it is black." - misquoted from Henry Ford. 

Esthetically, White Optimus of TESLA is more attractive. Japanese skin-coloured sex robots seem even huggable. No one will fall in love with Mentibus.


V'ger progresses through the space-time fabric

Voyager I continues to explore the universe and is approaching 1 light day from Earth.  The universe's space-time fabric processes information at 299,388 km/s.  c in Planck space is 1. V'ger's cause-and-effect progress takes a full Earth day to reach here.

Its mission is to gather information and send it to Earth. In the sci-fi movie, while cruising the universe, it is captured by another civilization, and they add capabilities to become a massive, thinking object. V'ger comes back to Earth searching for its creator to discharge all its data.  

Tuesday, November 25, 2025

Why debasement and what to do

 

Debasement refers to smooth inflation, and we are all feeling its effects. In times of inflation, where should you put your savings?

As an inflation hedge, Israeli real estate has historically performed very well. Real estate requires a long time horizon and comes with liquidity constraints and transaction costs.

After all, for high-end applications, silver is the way to go. Most conductive metal, and it serves as a monetary metal



Sunday, November 23, 2025

The gods loved barbecues


The Ancients believed the gods loved the aroma of burnt sacrifice.  When animals were sacrificed and burned on altars, the rising smoke was thought to carry the essence of the offering up to the gods. This created a mutually beneficial relationship between humans who ate the meat, while the gods received honor and the aromatic essence. The fragrant smoke demonstrated piety and maintained the relationship between mortals and immortals.

The site at Mt. Ebal had two occupation levels. Zertal calls the older occupation "level II" which he dates 1300 BC and the younger level I to 1250 BC.If this site is no older than 1300 BC, then none of it could be built by Joshua, because the exodus took place in 1400 BC. However this is a Hebrew altar built during the time of Deborah the Judge and underneath we believe is the actual altar of Joshua that should be dated to 1400 BC since a scarab from Tuthmosis III was found but wrongly dated to 1250 BC.

The Orthodox Jews maintain about one thousand shohatim - many of them in Argentina and Uruguay -, who sacrifice the cattle and ensure that the meat is kosher. Two thousand years have passed since the Temple's cohanim and levi'im were disbanded, but the Jewish priestly caste succeeded in maintaining its social position and extracting its divinely ordained share. Amazing!

Saturday, November 22, 2025

Seers



Herodotus shows this constantly throughout the Histories:  Both Greeks and Persians were deeply reliant on seers (manteis) and omens before major decisions, especially military ones.

Xerxes regularly consults Magi (the Persian priestly caste who served as seers) and pays attention to dreams and portents. Before crossing the Hellespont, there are elaborate rituals and divination. The Greeks are even more conspicuous about it - Spartan kings like Leonidas and later Pausanias, accompanied by seers, and they won't move armies without favorable sacrifices.

A striking example: at Plataea, the Spartans under Pausanias endure Persian arrow volleys while waiting for favorable omens from sacrifice. Men are dying around them, but they won't advance until the seer Tisamenus declares the signs are good. Only then do they attack.

The Athenians, too, consult Delphi about the Persian invasion, and the oracle's ambiguous prophecies about "wooden walls" become crucial to their strategy. The Seven against Thebes were led by the seer Amphiaraus (pic), who foresaw the death of all of them. 

What's interesting is that Herodotus presents this as universal behavior - not peculiarly Greek or Persian. Croesus consults oracles, the Egyptians have their own forms of divination, and the Scythians use willow rods. For Herodotus' world, the divine constantly intervenes in human affairs, and ignoring signs or seers leads to disaster. Those who disregard prophecies (like Croesus's misunderstanding of Delphi) pay dearly.

The Hebrews had the urim and tumim, but I am unsure what they were. I'll ask Claude.

Friday, November 21, 2025

Hunting those tasty Neandertals

Numerous Neanderthal bones recovered from archaeological sites bear unmistakable marks of butchery—cut marks from defleshing and fracture patterns consistent with marrow extraction. The larger bones, particularly the femurs and tibias, exhibit characteristic notching and pitting, indicating that someone systematically cracked them open to access the nutrient-rich marrow. Some bones even display signs of "retouching"—secondary modifications indicating they were later repurposed as tools for sharpening stone implements. In other words, whoever consumed these individuals subsequently used their remains as whetstones.

The chronology is particularly striking: these butchered bones date to the period when Homo sapiens first arrived in Europe. The evidence suggests newcomers hunted young Neanderthals and processed them with stone tools using techniques identical to those used for game animals. Neanderthals disappeared rapidly after contact with our species. While various theories attempt to explain this—climate change, genetic bottlenecks, competitive exclusion—the archaeological record points toward a simpler explanation: they were hunted as food.

This interpretation finds support in ethnographic accounts. Societies that practised cannibalism consistently describe human flesh as resembling pork in taste and texture. New Guinea communities famously termed humans "long pig" and consumed them at communal feasts. The notion that such practices served purely ceremonial functions or represented symbolic absorption of an enemy's strength strikes me as a wishful reinterpretation. The more straightforward answer is that people hunted and ate Neandertals because they found the meat tasty and nutritious. Meeting Homo sapiens was very bad news for every one of God's creatures. 

Wednesday, November 19, 2025

Ali Express

 

The Chinese web-traders know how to sell.

They are improving week after week.

Tuesday, November 18, 2025

Fear floats over the Street


The NASDAQ has reached such heights that people are feeling vertigo and fear of falling off.  Tomorrow, Nvidia will publish its quarterly results, which promise to be excellent. How is the street reacting? With fear. They are selling Nvidia and other high-tech papers. It is losing 3%! Fund managers are losing their nerves and selling... 

I am an optimist. Tomorrow, my portfolio will rise.

Monday, November 17, 2025

Britain's path to renewal: Cultural Revolution

 
It is becoming obvious that the key decision in China's path to renewal was the unsentimental destruction of all things past.  Mao sent youths to humiliate and exile respected teachers and to destroy the invaluable works of art from the imperial period. But Mao was right. New China emerged without the shackles imposed by Confucius. Zionism erased the Yiddish culture, changed personal and family names, and even invented a new language. England must destroy its venerable traditions and level historical cities, and build a new, modern society. The glories of the past have led to its miserable state today. I like the King, the Lords, the castles, the museums, and the Globe, but they must be given up.  But I doubt that the British renewal could happen. Already, Carl Marx predicted that the Communist Revolution would happen in all of Europe except Britain, because the British proletariat doesn't hate but negotiates with the capitalists.  

Sunday, November 16, 2025

Officially a Teenager

Yesterday we celebrated her yom-muledet. She looks angry as always.  

Renewing Kfar Saba

This town was founded a hundred years ago, but is already being rebuilt. This is not Europe, where every old building is considered a piece of history and must be preserved.  My daughter and her then-husband bought an apartment on the fourth floor of an old building. No lift, no parking, poorly maintained. When she divorced and divided their common property, I paid off the boy's part, for her tranquility's sake. Years have passed, and now the rebuilding permit has arrived, and the building is being destroyed (pic). She will receive a brand new and larger apartment. Patience pays.

BTW, the first settlers in this town received large plots to build their homes. A friend of mine inherited such a plot and built two multi-story buildings; his children received each an apartment, and he is now wealthy. So are all those who believed in the Zionist enterprise in its beginning. 

Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Our new face towards Arabs

Captain Ella is our new face. Lt. Col. Ella Waweya, known in the Arab world by her online name "Captain Ella", will replace IDF Arabic spokesperson Avihai Adraee, who is leaving the IDF after 20 years of service.


Ella grew up in Qalansawe, and at around age 22 decided to perform national service, which she carried out at Meir Medical Center in Kfar Saba. Two years later she decided to enlist in the IDF as well, and served as a new media officer in the Arabic communications section of the IDF Spokesperson's Unit. 

Monday, November 10, 2025

Il Ghetto

 Il ghetto nuovo di Venezia. 5,000 Jews of different "nations" lived crowded on a small island. The German nation (Ashkenazim), which also included Italians, was confined to the Campo di Ghetto Nuovo, and was joined by the Levantine (Turkish) nation, which occupied the neighbouring streets of the Ghetto Vecchio in 1541. Later, the Jews from the west, mostly Sephardic Jews, took up residence in the same streets. Other Sephardic Jews were granted houses close to the Ghetto Nuovo, forming the Ghetto Nuovissimo in 1633. The French Revolution liberated and dissolved the ghetto. Cecil Roth's book describes some exotic figures of the ghetto. 

In retrospect, Venice allowed a safe and stable, if marginal, existence for the Jews. All the while, Jews were forbidden to live in Spain, France, Scandinavia, and most of the German states. 

Sunday, November 9, 2025

Seeing the Light


Sasha Troufanov was 27 when he was kidnapped on Oct. 7 from his parents’ home in Kibbutz Nir Oz. After his release 498 days later, he spoke at the Palm Beach Synagogue about his life before Oct. 7. “One of the things I realized I had done wrong was that I wasn’t open to believing in God,” he said.

“My life had been pretty good; I had a good job, a good salary, a great girlfriend, everything I had ever wanted, but I hadn’t been happy at all. I was always planning ahead; I didn’t focus on doing right in the present. October 7 made me realize I can’t control what’s ahead; I can only control what I do in the present.”

On February 16, 2025, he put on tefillin for the first time in his life. “Doing a mitzvah, making a blessing before eating, kissing a mezuzah, or praying is a chance to feel gratitude and say ‘Thank you’ for what God has given you,” he said.

Pic.: Sasha thanking Putin for help in his release.

Friday, November 7, 2025

εὐαγγέλιον


Hamas leadership says it has lost all contact with the 150 terrorists trapped in underground tunnels in Rafah, Gaza, fearing that they have died of starvation.

These are the people who captured and enslaved, and assassinated our 18-year-old girl-soldiers.

Wednesday, November 5, 2025

Blanket Deleverage

NVidia in free fall - without any reason except that it has been rising steadily for a long time. Strong earnings unnerved the market, a sign that people are very nervous and will react unreasonably.

"The selloff appears to be largely positioning-driven, with recent outperforming names taking the worst of the move," said Jon Withaar, senior portfolio manager at Pictet Asset Management in Singapore.

There was no obvious trigger for the pullback, but it began with an unexpectedly negative reaction to strong financial results at Silicon Valley data and artificial intelligence firm Palantir Technologies. Pic.: Coffee Commerce, Pictet Collection.

Tuesday, November 4, 2025

Mr Herbert Hoover (1932): Now is the time to buy


 Just around the corner,
there's a rainbow in the sky,
So let's have another cup of coffee,
and let's have another piece of pie.

Monday, November 3, 2025

Gaza now

 https://x.com/i/status/1985243190937444826

This is an explosion of a main tunnel in Gaza. See the smoke emerging from ten or more outlets at the same time. 

Tehran water outlook

 


Tehran's 10 million inhabitants consume 3 MCM (million cubic meters) of water a day, and the reserves in the main dams contain 14 MCM. The probabilities of rain in November are nil.

Tehran loses nearly a third of its water through broken pipes. So much water has been pumped from aquifers that parts of Tehran are sinking by more than 10 inches per year. The Ministry of Energy is drilling 250 deep wells to extract groundwater beneath Tehran, but this water may be contaminated by wastewater (Dr Elisha Kaly taught me that there is no drinking water under cities).. 

Water access in Tehran is unequal; wealthier northern districts have better infrastructure and a more consistent supply, while southern districts experience frequent water rationing. The situation cannot be solved by rationing; instead, a plan is in place to evacuate approximately one-third of Tehran's population.  This is genuinely alarming for a capital city and virtually without precedent.

A political change will not improve the outlook. Claude estimates that desperation will not motivate them to start a war. Iran's current president Pezeshkian has publicly acknowledged the crisis, even offering 100 million tomans (about $1 million) to anyone who could solve it. Honi HaMeagel may have some ideas.

Pic.: Amir Kabir Dam. See the regular water level mark.

Saturday, November 1, 2025

Macabre Casus belli

 
Israel is demanding the return of all the hostages, and at this point, the issue is a couple of bodies that the enemy, after two years of destruction, is unable to localize. Our war chiefs are quoted as threatening to restart the war. Why are decomposed cadavers so important for the Jews?

I am reading about Cecil Roth's History of the Jews in Venice. The University of Padua claimed bodies for its lessons of anatomy, and the Jewish community paid for being excluded. Sometimes, cemeteries were robbed or bodies were snatched during funerals. 

I never understood the cult of the dead. The champions were the Ancient Egyptians, who erected mountains of stone blocks to store embalmed bodies and their cats. We may have caught this משוגאַס from them, or the Ancient Greeks, whose battles never ended till they recovered their fallen companions. But no, every human society always treated its dead with ceremony, hoping vaguely for resurrection here or in Hades.  Or revenge if they were mistreated.