The Aswan Dam Breach Prediction

"Prediction of breach formation through the Aswan High Dam and subsequent flooding downstream area" is a scientific study that concluded that in case of dam failure, 13,466.10 km2 will be underwater, all of it within the Nile Valley borders. About 100 million inhabitants will have to be evacuated to higher lands.

The research team ran 6 scenarios of dam failure following a rectangular breach in the rock nucleus of 10 m wide and 21 m deep. This breach rapidly enlarges, and in a few hours will reach a width of 450 meters, with the lake losing approximately 60 meters in depth. The six scenarios calculated six different climatic situations, concluding that in Scenario 6 (maximum inflow and normal lake height), all the barrages and dams downstream will fail.  

Given the enormous mass (and 11 bar pressure on the dam's internal wall), it is presumable that even a smaller breach in the rock nucleus will rapidly develop, especially in high inflow moments. 

The study is signed by an Egyptian team: Samir A. S. Ibrahim, El-Belasy, and Fahmy S. Abdel-Haleem

water levels of each scenario during the dam failure were obtained.

2- The maximum peak outflow of the AHD failure is 389009.69 m3/s. This was in case of overtopping

failure when, the inflow of hydrograph of year 1964/1965 was considered. The Nasser Lake contents

and water level are 162.3 BCM and 182m +MSL respectively; the assumed initial breach is 10.0 m

width, and 14.0 m depth in the rock-fill part of the AHD. The breach developed progressively in 95

hours and reached a depth of 62.11 m, and a width of 666.30 m, at level 133.89 m+ MSL.

3- Scenario (3) was chosen to be simulated by 1D2D model because it represents the maximum inflow

and normal water level of the Lake. This is considered the closest condition to reality. In the case of the

Aswan High Dam failure, major damages can be expected along the Nile Valley. The resulting flood

wave propagated down the Nile causing the failure of all other dams by overtopping. The calculated

Arab money

 Qatar says it will suspend a 150 billion Boeing aircraft purchase if US continues to support Israel's attacks on Qatar.

Where the money is

America. 

Europa is impoverished.  

Probable Egyptian Attack

 It seems that the current Egyptian dictator is mobilizing against us. Egypt suffered subsequent defeats at our hands, and apparently, they learnt nothing. Last time we were stopped by Kissinger at the gates of Cairo, with the Sinai in our hands. We had built a beautiful city in North Sinai - Yamit. I always remember it. I loved Sinai. I hope I'll live and visit Bardawil lagoon, named after the Crusader king Baldwin I and the Santa Katherina monastery.  

Frightening

 
3 supermassive black holes have been caught colliding and shaking space-time. Photo by Chinese astronomers.

Capital flood

 The need for change is urgent. Indeed, if European companies do not adjust their operations in short order, the gap between them and their US peers is likely to widen. When that critical point is reached, the flow of companies and capital towards the US will likely become a flood, and Europe’s capital markets may be irreparably damaged.

Source: Deutsche Bank AG12 August 2025 Thematic Research. 

They are starting to worry. Germany is missing the Jews who were pushing ahead relentlessly a hundred years ago, while making the population insoportably nervous. 

Judge Dee Mystery

 I am not working but watching the Chinese Judge Dee series. It is something unrelated to the van Gulik version, and with much moon over mountain scenery. The Dutch novels are clever, but the Chinese film with Judge Dee's kung-fu acrobatics is ridiculously stupid. I have been many times in China and read much literature, and I like the people. They are sociable and friendly, non-violent, but I have never heard or read an ingenious saying. Their Buddhism is insincere, since Buddha never killed a fly but the Chinese kill and cook every creature. I think the Roman Empire was superior to the Celestial Empire, and only the Brits and the Jews are brilliant and funny.