Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Crabtree's Prediction

 
From Wikipedia:   In 2013, Crabtree published "Our Fragile Intellect" in Trends in Genetics, The prediction that our intellectual abilities are genetically fragile was based on the determined rate of human de novo mutations (those mutations that appear in each generation). This rate has been determined in several human populations to be about 1.20 x10-8 per nucleotide per generation with an average father's age of 29.7 years. This rate doubles every 16.5 years with the father's age and ascribes most of the new mutations to the father during the production of reproductive cells.  Thus about 45 to 60 new mutations occur per generation per human genome with each new generation.  The conclusion that the accumulation of these new mutations over the generations would lead to intellectual fragility was based on the estimate of the fraction of genes necessary for normal development of the nervous system, which is thought to be several thousand. The nervous system is unique in that an extraordinarily large number of genes are required for the development and function of the brain, representing perhaps 10–20% of all human genes. The simple combination of the number of genes required for normal brain development (>1000) and the fact that each human generation has 45-60 new mutations per genome led Crabtree to suggest that our intellectual abilities are particularly genetically fragile over many generations.

His thesisEach generation, humans accumulate ~50–60 new mutations. Most are harmless. But some are slightly harmful and aren’t removed. They stack. Over ~3,000 years, humans may have accumulated multiple mutations affecting cognition. In the past, natural selection filtered out harmful traits. Today, modern society buffers survival, meaning that those mutations may persist rather than be removed.

I think that natural selection is active no less than before, and intelligent people do reproduce themselves. Today, that is unclear because of the general mixing that takes place. 

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Half of TASE's trade is by foreigners


TASE, Tel Aviv's stock exchange, is gaining popularity among financial circles. TASE is not only the best market in the world, but also the inflow of foreign currency has strengthened the Israeli shekel tremendously. Personally, it means that the modest profits from my savings allowed me to help my daughter buy a nice kitchen. 

From Globes: "The scale of foreign trading activity has increased, among other things, following the transition to a Monday-Friday trading format, which contributes to deepening liquidity in the market."

TASE data also show that foreign investors have deepened their trading activity in Tel Aviv throughout the war. The share of foreign investors in daily trading on the TASE jumped from 35% before the war to 41% of trading during the war. The boom in trading in dual-traded stocks is important to the TASE for another reason. Following the recent listing of US cybersecurity giant Palo Alto Networks in Tel Aviv TASE VP economic department Ron Klein explains, "We are seeing a very significant increase in companies contacting us regarding dual listing. I estimate that we will see a significant number of new dual listing companies."

The illustration is unrelated to the kitchen mentioned above. 

Monday, March 23, 2026

Iranian Rial and its worth

I think the Rial originally was the Spanish Real made from Mexican silver, which was the currency accepted all over the world in the 16th Century.  

Each silver real weighed 3.433 grams at a fineness of 93.1% silver. Today's silver price (March 23, 2026): $70.78 per troy ounce (31.1035 g). One Spanish real would be equivalent to $7.28 USD. Ten Million Iranian Rials would be worth... not much.

Sunday, March 22, 2026

5,000 km missiles


 Iran fired two intercontinental missiles at the Diego Garcia base in the Indian Ocean. One was shot down, the second missed. This proves that Iran has the means to bomb European capitals, just as it is doing to us. Bibi called on European nations to join us in our fight against the danger. I think it is a mistake; they will not help because they hate us so much that no Jewish appeal can move them. On the contrary, any call coming from the Jews is a balm for their cruel hearts, so to speak; they hate Jews, and they hate America. They are enjoying the idea that Tel Aviv is being destroyed (as shown in all European press, not in reality) and wish us more suffering. Europeans are afraid and fear that American bases are endangering them. Thanks God for Donald Trump.

 https://x.com/i/status/2035762512147128344

Saturday, March 21, 2026

Northern Light

 They lead the war: Central Command, Pete Hegseth, Vice President, and the President. Tall Nordics all. 


Friday, March 20, 2026

Tel Aviv: UP, Wall Street: DOWN

 I am witnessing a paradox: the Tel Aviv Bourse ended Friday trading with strong gains, while the NASDAQ is falling. Apparently, American investors are losing faith that the Iran war is going well, and expect a worldwide energy crisis and depression. NATO allies have abandoned America and publish sanctimonious declarations, saying that war - any war - is morally repugnant to their saintly souls.


 

Thursday, March 19, 2026

Japan agrees to partner

 

I like this pic. The background of golden royal motives, Trump's bright yellow Celestial Imperial tie, the strong blue of Takaichi and her hands, extended in a universal gesture of supplication. With the Japanese people, we are invincible.