Wednesday, September 11, 2019

Ignorant Palestinian Professor fights Zionist Ghosts and Academic Rivals

I received an academic paper by Professor Amal Jamal from the University of Tel Aviv titled "Unveiling …".   Having read several academic papers criticizing Zionism from the Settler-Colonialist perspective, I am surprised (and I should not be) that they deal only with past European Zionist debates and publications and ignore the vast and far more important literature on Zionism in Jewish religious circles. I have never seen any quotation of the vast Zionist literature in the Jewish communities of the Islamic countries, before they were dispersed. European Zionism died with the Jews of Europe, and at least half of the "settler colonists" combatted by Tel Aviv University Professor Dr. Jamal are not White Europeans but brownish refugees from the Islam.  For them and also for the important religious sector, the legitimacy of Israel does not follow from the writings of secular European Zionist leaders, but from the belief in the promise written in the Bible. I should add that many of them would not even recognize Jamal's post-Emancipation secular leaders as Jews. It may be surprising to Prof. Jamal and his Western colleges to discover that Jews keep the Shabbat and eat only kosher food. From the Roman times till the Emancipation the concept of secular, non-religious Jews was unknown. 


I mean that these academics are discussing things that have been long abandoned and are irrelevant to Zionism 2019. The leading and most dynamic sector of the "settler" movement today are the religious youth, and they totally ignore the old post-Emancipation Zionism of Poland and the Galut, and follow the rabbinical leaders of the Jerusalem yeshivot. These religious leaders are extremely influential in the government, and their representatives will hold key ministries in the next government. While Prof. Jamal discusses what, say, proto-communist Moses Hess wrote in Germany two hundred years ago, he is totally ignorant of the ideological debates of the Jewish religious universe. Jamal's condemnation of assimilated European Zionists' thesis is irrelevant for contemporary leaders like Smotrich, who represents the "colonial settlers" that Jamal tries to debate and oppose. Jamal is fighting ghosts and the actual settlers. And he lives here and meets them every day.  

(I have a correction to make: Jamal does not fight dead White Jews, he fights his living rivals in the academy, the dominant post-Zionist professors. Once I realized it, it was all too obvious. He is not very talented at it, and twice or thrice falls into vulgar anti-Semitic conspiracy accusations, like "hidden" motives of Zionism). 

(I am intrigued by the concept of "settler colonialism". They had to invent this new label since they discovered that colonialism is done by colonialist country, and Zionism is an orphan without a mother country. So the settlers are, all by themselves and without being the emissaries of a colonial power, colonialists. All this bizarre definitions are to show that the Palestinians have no agency, they are innocent victims, and not, never, God-forbid, that there may be something wrong with them. That idea would be unconceivable, destructive of their self-image and their mental sanity.)  

Jamal et al ignore the whole universe of that created the ideology that the settlers are implementing. Jamal has no access to the ferocious debates maintained by the different yeshiva heads which contain the sole relevant thinking in the settler sector. Even if he should read a few of the numerous brochures and books of the Jerusalem literature, he would feel absolutely foreign and incomprehensible all that arguing about God's mandates and later comments, and could not find believable that there is an actual connection between those exotic elucubrations and actual moving to Samaria. In conclusion, it is possible that the people that understands the "settler colonialists" are the ayatollahs of Iran (pic), who do think in religious terms. They could maintain an equal-to-equal debate with contemporary Zionism. 




Tuesday, September 10, 2019

Adoniyahu, the Chief Minister

A 2,600-year-old seal inscribed with the name of "Adenyahu Asher Al HaBayit," meaning apparently  "Adenyahu by Appointment of the House," was uncovered in dirt excavated in 2013 near the Western Wall.  The owner of the seal was a high functionary of the Court of King Solomon. I think that the meaning of "Of the House" is  something like "Adoniyahu from the Government". 

Sunday, September 8, 2019

Down Days

The Hod Hasharon 4 houses project is not approved and the client is shouting. Yesterday I had a fight with a regulator and I wrote to everybody that she knows nothing. She menaced me. I am feeling down. Sick and tired. On the other hand, my daughters and family took me to the sea, it was nice, but I am in no shape to swim far from the beach. I am more exhausted and less independent each day.

I designed a project and sent the file to the building company F. to prepare the PLT file and print it. They made a mess of it and the project was not approved. I don't know how to proceed. 

Immigrants Increase German Human Stock

Interestingly, the number of births by non-immigrant German women has been rising (last year, by 3%). I think that the presence of a large population of immigrants from countries with high birth-rates, such as Syria, has a positive impact on the native population. Even so, 23%  (184,700) of all newborns in Germany were born to non-German women. The natives and the immigrants are mutually affecting each other: the natives are adopting some of the cultural traits of the immigrants, although it is the immigrant group that is reducing drastically its fertility in the German anti-children environment. For those who know how difficult is to increase European natality, those 30,000 additional native German babies are a net gain;  a by-product of Angela's immigration. 

Saturday, September 7, 2019

AI debating living humans

IBM Research organized a debate about a contemporary issue. IBM machine lost the debate but the very fact that it happened is impressive. This is something new to me. IBM machine could write a better blog and a better paper that any human and no one would know. 

Argentina exporting gas and oil

The Vaca Muerta shale area has entered into production and the country is once more exporting energy.  YPF is planning a total of over 1,700 fracking wells.  YPF, Malaysian Petronas and Shell have been making announcements regarding full-scale development phase. Chevron and YPF decided to invest a total of $800 million in drilling 20 wells in Vaca Muerta play in 2019. Argentina is so rich in natural resources that it may surprise and prosper.  

Thursday, September 5, 2019

ROE of 10% in Kever Benjamin

I have been offered a mashkanta (mortgage) to buy an apt. here. The interest rate is about 3%. The price is about 1500000 sheqel = 450000 dollars. The rent could be around 4000 sheqel/month, that is, a ROIC of 3% on he total capital invested. It is rather unattractive. How much is the ROE? If the loan is for 20 years, the monthly payment roughly pays off the mortgage payment. So for the next 20 years the investment would yield zero for me. Only headaches of collecting the rent, paying taxes, maintenance, etc.  In 2040 the value of my 1000000 investment would be 1500000, that is, roughly, 500000/20 =  profit of  25000 p.a. That is, the ROE is grossly 5%. But the real attraction is the steady increase in the value of the property. If I could sell the 20 y.o. apartment in 2040 for 2000000, that is a profit of 1,000,000 in 20 years = 50000 p.a.  then ROE would be 10% p.a. which is not sensational, but not bad. I shall be able to celebrate my 100th birthday on my own yacht.

If real estate suddenly appreciates in the Sharon, I could sell the apt. and take my chips before the investment matures. The speculation is based in the appreciation of apartments in the Sharon, and that is not assured at all.

Real estate prices are sure to rise in this part of the country. Most building activity in my city is TAMA 38 that is reinforcement of an old building against earthquakes, including renovation and addition of two or three floors. The Major has declared that no more permits will be granted, since the infrastructure is inadequate and the traffic is terrible as it is. In the last four years there were 1333 new building starts in Kever Benjamin, that is 333 per year, about 1000 new inhabitants each year, a population growth of 1%. There is a strong public opinion for stopping the growth and save the eucalyptus trees (I am not kidding) so prices will go up and up.

The ROE Return of Equity, which the only important parameter in this leveraged investment, varies form 5 to 10% per annum according the rate of increase of the prices. Generally, real estate is considered safe and stable, but it is not so. In New York they have capped rents, and in Israel, last year, they had a law to tax third apartments. Ten years ago it was debated in the Knesset that rents should be considered as business income, pay 17% VAT and taxed like profits in the stock exchange (25%). To people that has no place to live in, the whole rental business appears as unjust and exploitative, and while they have the vote, no one's property is safe. The risk is too large.

I must be believing I'll live forever, since I am busy calculating long-term profits.