My dilemma with the Climate Crisis

 

Akio Kitoh, Akiyo Yatagai, and Pinhas Alpert First super-high-resolution model projection that the ancient “Fertile Crescent” will disappear in this century, Hydrological Research Letters 2, 1-4 DOI: 10.3178/HRL.2.1, 2008.

 Abstract: The first full projections of rainfall and streamflow in the “Fertile Crescent” of the Middle East are presented in this paper. Up until now, this has not been possible due to the lack of observed data and the lack of atmospheric models with sufficient resolution. An innovative super-high-resolution (20-km) global climate model is employed, which accurately reproduces the precipitation and the streamflow of the present-day Fertile Crescent. It is projected that, by the end of this century, the Fertile Crescent will lose its current shape and may disappear altogether. The annual discharge of the Euphrates River will decrease significantly (29-73%), as will the streamflow in the Jordan River. Thus countermeasures for water shortages will become much more difficult.

I am working on a Runoff Management report for Moshav Zeitan (near Lod Airport) and researching data. I found that runoff problems are going to be less severe - that in direct contradiction of the "Earth Climate Change" hysteria, and popular belief. I am wondering if the Ministry bureaucrats, whose approval I am seeking, will accept my plan. Till now I tended to go with the conventional nonsense (see pic) and my submissions were approved without resistance.

Old man dreaming

 Friedman:

But what if the U.S. or Israel feels it has to strike Iran’s nuclear program in the middle of what could be the worst energy winter since 1973? And what if Iran responds by firing at U.S. or Western oil tankers in the Persian Gulf, where Qatar, the world’s largest exporter of liquefied natural gas, resides? Oil and gas prices will go into the stratosphere. So, Iran suddenly has new leverage: Hit us and you bankrupt the world.

Friedman thinks that there will be a gas crunch this winter. Prices will jump (=inflation). 

I dreamt we were visiting my grandfather's house in Jaszbereny. An elderly Christian couple was living in it. We were leaving I gave them all my money and they asked more for scratching something. Not a full nightmare but woke rather bitter. Hungary's population is lower than in my grandfather's time, and there has been little new construction, especially in provincial towns. Elderly Christian couples live and maintain the disappeared Jew's homes.  

The pic may refer to Hemingway's Old Mand and the Sea, by an artist from India. Or maybe a Jungian dream, shared by all humanity. Figures of lions are omnipresent in the Antiquity.

Money Losing Power

 In Israel, the main categories in the consumer price index are Housing (25.2 percent of the total weight) and Transport and Communication (20.6 percent). Food accounts for 16.5 percent; Education, Culture and Entertainment for 11.7 percent and Dwelling Maintenance for 9.7 percent. Others: Health (5.2 percent); Miscellaneous Goods and Services (4.3 percent); Furniture and Household Equipment (3.7 percent) and Clothing and Footwear (3.1 percent).  Official inflation rates, therefore, refer mostly to items that are of no interest for this old man. I am not in the Housing,  Communications, Furniture, or Education markets. Only Food and Health are relevant for me. On the other hand, all affect my daughters and indirectly, me.   

Earth Abides

 

Ecclesiastes 1:4  "Men go and come, but earth abides."

קהלת:  דּוֹר הֹלֵךְ וְדוֹר בָּא, וְהָאָרֶץ לְעוֹלָם עֹמָדֶת

My fav crown princess. 

Annette

Yesterday my daughter and her fiance took us to the Cinematek Tel Aviv, to see a very long "rock opera", Anette. It is about a double murder drama. Motive: Doubts about the paternity of Anette, the baby symbolized in the film by a puppet. The emotional crisis is represented by a fantastic storm in the sea. The monologues of the main character, a start-up actor are answered by a Greek chorus formed by the audience. It is extremely stylized. The catharsis came with the final scene in the jail when Annette - this time a real girl - rejects her father's love. I understood the story only after looking it up on Wikipedia.   

Wasting time

I caught a cold and slept badly. The last 2-3 days have been difficult for me to concentrate on work. I waste my time on the internet with Prof. John Mearsheimer lecturing about China's demographic collapse and a China - USA war. He has a strong New York accent but speaks clearly. He says that Communist rule is illegitimate in China so the Party whips up nationalism to stay in power. He doubts the formation of a NATO-type alliance in Asia because the distances are too big.  For him, the suppression of Tibetans and Uyghurs are publicity items. BTW I like the Chinese position on East Turkestan. We met their monstrous faces in the Raqqa Caliphate. In conclusion, I have to work.

Demographic Collapse — China's Reckoning (Part 1)

Extremely clear and logical exposition.