Friday, March 18, 2022

Vladimir Vladimirovich


 Watched BBC's film about Putin. Many interviews are very credible. He is (was?) the richest man in the world. He was advanced by Yeltzin because he protected his disgraced boss in Saint Petersburg. Loyalty, a most scarce quality (I don't have it), was rewarded. 

Thursday, March 17, 2022

Creative Destruction


The fresh U.S. aid to Ukraine includes a longer-range anti-aircraft system, 800 Stinger anti-aircraft missiles, 9,000 anti-tank missiles, and 7,000 small arms along with 20 million rounds of ammunition. Previously the U.S. supply included 600 Stinger antiaircraft systems, 2,600 Javelin anti-armor systems, helicopters, and patrol boats, 200 machine guns, 200 grenade launchers, and 40 million rounds of small-arms ammunition.

What is the meaning of this? Wall Street is celebrating. America is playing the strategic encirclement game (Wei qi 围棋  = go) and that is driving crazy the Russians. Further dismantling Russia will increase Germany's security. Russia is resisting and is ready to throw in its nuclear weapons. 

The negotiations between America and Iran are stalling, which always favors the stronger party. It may be the American strategy vis-a-vis Iran.  China continues to build itself but is approaching some kind of Japanese stasis. The only active enemy of Israel is Lebanon's Hizballah. It seems to have been forgotten, but our people must be thinking hard about how to manage it. Am reading Kissinger's "On China". Photo: Russian and Japanese negotiating the end of the 1900 war.  

Tuesday, March 15, 2022

Hard Work


 I have completed planning the plumbing systems of an old cinema that is being re-built as a VIP gym. The cinema business is disappearing, people entertain themselves at home. The main problem is the large central space that will be reformatted into a multi-level studio. I had to include sewage pumps, which I try to avoid if possible. During this job, my blood pressure remained normal for my age.  

Wednesday, March 9, 2022

TASE mysteries


Idan Ofer - the owner of 45% of ICL - sold 1.5% to funds that were desperate for the stock. Idan said that the price was high (in fact the highest ever). Immediately, the stock's price sank 7%. Is there something he knows that he is ready to sell now when the perspective of the future rises is 100% certain?  Speculators certainly seem to think he is hiding some weakness.
I am watching Jen Psaki's press conference and am impressed. What a yegua!

Tuesday, March 8, 2022

Ruining Europe


Somebody on UNZ wrote that the Ukraine war is in fact the USA ruining Europe's economy. Now, Biden has decided to boycott Russian oil - that will cause even higher prices and a severe shock to Europe, possibly recession. Not good. 

P.D.: As Biden finished his speech (very nicely delivered) the NASDAQ changed its color and from deep red turned green. Wall Street knows that war in Europe is good for business. 

Russia warns of famine in Europe

From the Russian journal Kommersant (Google translation)

 updated 22:57

Fertilizers do not go abroad

The Ministry of Industry and Trade advised chemical companies to stop exports

Chemical companies, which have experienced export difficulties since the beginning of March due to the refusal of the largest container carriers to work with Russian cargo, received a recommendation from the government to suspend shipments abroad. The Ministry of Industry and Trade explained that this is due to the risks of logistical failures. At the same time, a decrease in shipments of fertilizers from Russia threatens the food security of many countries in the medium term.



The Ministry of Industry and Trade recommended that Russian chemical companies temporarily suspend the export of their products until the carriers resume regular work and provide guarantees for the full implementation of export deliveries of Russian fertilizers. The department noted that they take into account "the current situation with the work of foreign logistics operators and the risks associated with it." Chemical companies do not comment on the situation.

Sources of Kommersant in the market note that the recommendation of the Ministry of Industry and Trade is rather technical, since since the beginning of March it is still almost impossible to export fertilizers, in addition, there are risks of confiscation or non-payment of goods. We are talking about the fact that from March 1, three key sea carriers - shipping companies Maersk, Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) and CMA CGM - stopped accepting cargo from Russia and for Russia.

“Currently, a situation is emerging where, due to sabotage of deliveries by a number of foreign logistics companies, farmers in Europe and other countries cannot receive the contracted volumes of fertilizers,” the Ministry of Industry and Trade noted.

The cessation of exports from Russia creates obvious risks of crop failure and, as a result, food shortages for the countries of Western and Eastern Europe, Latin America, South and Southeast Asia in the medium term. It is either extremely difficult or even impossible to replace Russian fertilizers.

Russia is one of the three leaders in the supply of fertilizers to the world market, exporting about 70% of its chemical products. At the same time, a number of global producers either significantly reduced or completely stopped the operation of their plants by the end of 2021 due to a sharp increase in prices for raw materials - gas. This significantly reduced global supply and increased demand for Russian products.

....Ms. Sakhnova recalls that Russia is the world's largest exporter of urea, ammonia, ammonium nitrate, complex fertilizers, the third largest exporter of potassium and the fourth largest exporter of phosphate fertilizers. In her opinion, given the limitation of exports from Russia, we can expect a further at least two-fold increase in world prices, which will lead to a significant increase in food inflation in the world. In 2021, the food price index calculated by the FAO increased by almost a third, the expert reminds.

Sunday, March 6, 2022

Israel Mediating Between Russia and Ukraine


My Blood Pressure is normal and finished two projects, one already got paid and the other, as usual, has to be approved by a higher-level boss whose existence was unknown till the very moment they have to pay me. The Tel Aviv bourse finished lower, but I ended with a large profit. I am starting tomorrow to send money to pay my debt. Bennet is mediating in Russia - it is amazing how we Jews have climbed the world political-financial-social pyramid. I assisted in Course of Leadership and Peacemaking (Mediation) with Latin American participants, but I thought "What we know of peace mediation that we are training Latins?" It appears that I was underestimating our capabilities and international standing.