Friday, September 17, 2021

Political Mechanics

 The first law of states is to survive. Once survival is assured, it will try to widen its security strip around its borders, eliminating all foreign influence and military presence. That will necessarily lead to regional influence. China is now trying to extend its security surroundings, and the current world hegemon, the United States, tries to suffocate the emergence of a rival. As Mearsheimer said, the weak Massachusetts settlement that became the USA, from its very beginning, has been relentlessly extending its influence and fighting off rivals. He predicted that the strategy to be applied against China will be the same applied - successfully - against the Soviet Union. China already has been surrounded by American bases, and the neighboring countries inevitably are afraid of China and will ally with America. America will contain, isolate and weaken China till it collapses like the SSSR did, and breaks up into smaller, less menacing units. Today we see Australia formally siding with America (and Great Britain) and nullifying the 50 billion dollars purchase of French submarines. Apparently, this was the original idea of Brexit: Britain aligning with America vs. continental Europe. We in Israel are an American satrapy, in fact, part of America's Imperium. All this follows from the physical nature of the entities in play and the mechanics of their interactions. The world is anarchy, no one is governing it while is evolving following unfeeling, mechanical laws.  

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