Claude reflects on the water problem.
Fortunately, I shall be dead when the crisis arrives.
Claude reflects on the water problem.
Fortunately, I shall be dead when the crisis arrives.
Received the last edition of The Economist. The general outlook is good; the US is predicted to grow 2.3% in 2026 and Europe 1.5%. Two countries are prospering: Taiwan and Israel. Taiwan 6.9% and Israel 4.8%. Both are isolated, island economies, both under attack. Germany, Switzerland, Italy and other European countries are stagnating, peace does not stimulate economic growth.
Iran has closed the Hormuz Strait, and maritime traffic has almost stopped. Iran has fired its strongest weapon, fortunately it is not our problem. America has a dozen military bases in the Gulf area exactly for this eventuality. Paradoxically, they were vacated as soon as the war started.
Little Israel is forced to wage war forever. The Jews were the most pacific people on Earth, but now we are learning how wage war and losing our natural fear of armed conflict. People will be surprised how effective we are becoming.
Unlike June 2025, when the war was almost exclusively Iran-versus-Israel, the 2026 conflict has turned the entire Gulf into a warzone. Iran has been distributing fire across 13 countries, overwhelming regional air defenses and forcing every Gulf state into the conflict. Critically, the data now confirms that the UAE has absorbed far more total projectiles than Israel, with 1,468 projectiles versus 392. The INSS Israel assessment confirmed that Iran launched 2.5 times more missiles and 20 times more drones at Gulf states than at Israel.
| Country | Missiles | Drones | Total | % of Total | Interception Rate |
| Israel | 285 | 107 | 392 | 12.8% | 90% Ballistic Missiles, 90% Drones |
| UAE | 214 | 1,254 | 1,468 | 48% | 92% Ballistic Missiles, 93% Drones |
| Kuwait | 178 | 384 | 562 | 18.4% | 97% Ballistic Missiles, 95% Drones |
| Bahrain | 84 | 147 | 231 | 7.6% | 88% Ballistic Missiles, 82% Drones |
| Qatar | 104 | 39 | 143 | 4.7% | 97% Ballistic Missiles, 62% Drones |
| Jordan | 60 | 59 | 119 | 3.9% | 100% Ballistic Missiles, 100% Drones |
| Saudi Arabia | 28 | 45 | 73 | 2.4% | 98% Ballistic Missiles, 93% Drones |
| Iraq | 20 | 40 | 60 | 2% | 70% Ballistic Missiles,65% Drones |
| Oman | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0.2% | 50% Ballistic Missiles, 50% Drones |
| Azerbaijan | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.1% | N/A |
| Turkey (NATO) | 1 | 0 | 1 | <0.1% | 100% |
| Cyprus/UK (Akrotiri) | 0 | 1 | 1 | <0.1% | N/A |
Israel has absorbed just 12.8% of all projectiles, while the UAE has received 48%.
This rarity likely stems from the mutation's location: a critical site in the KDF-1 gene that evolution has left virtually untouched. In addition to studying the gene in humans, the team looked at 421 animal species and discovered that no more than 10 species had evolved a different gene variant at this site.