I was sleeping my siesta when suddenly the municipal civil defense siren started howling. Instantly I got a stomachache and ran to the refuge. After a few minutes, to the toilet. It is nice, fresh spring day and people were walking on the street, suddenly it became empty. My BP is higher these days.
Received the last edition of The Economist. The general outlook is good; the US is predicted to grow 2.3% in 2026 and Europe 1.5%. Two countries are prospering: Taiwan and Israel. Taiwan 6.9% and Israel 4.8%. Both are isolated, island economies, both under attack. Germany, Switzerland, Italy and other European countries are stagnating, peace does not stimulate economic growth.
Iran has closed the Hormuz Strait, and maritime traffic has almost stopped. Iran has fired its strongest weapon, fortunately it is not our problem. America has a dozen military bases in the Gulf area exactly for this eventuality. Paradoxically, they were vacated as soon as the war started.
Little Israel is forced to wage war forever. The Jews were the most pacific people on Earth, but now we are learning how wage war and losing our natural fear of armed conflict. People will be surprised how effective we are becoming.
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