Had an hour-long political analysis with Claude, and the final conclusion is the same as Tzahal's, get ready for a three-week war. Follow the Civil Defense instructions and have patience.
The enemy is trying to create a world-wide economic crisis by stopping the Gulf's oil exports, thus pressuring USA to negotiate a ceasefire. European allies are unwilling to take any part in the fight, and Spain is even sabotaging the effort. China is the hardest hit and may be forced to tell Iran to stop the war. There is a widening split between the Revolutionary Guards and the civil government. So, active forces are working towards ending the war. All wars end at some point. In the meanwhile, we in Israel have a free hand to destroy Hizballah, if we can.
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