Sunday, April 12, 2020

Winding down the corona epidemic

Several teams in Israel are building models how to end the economic disaster of the corona epidemic lockdown.

Bar-Ilan University researchers led by Dr. Baruch Barzel of the Department of Mathematics, have devised a strategy based on alternating lockdowns: first splitting the population into two groups, then alternating these groups between lockdown and routine activity in weekly succession.
The official team that is dealing with this problem includes the Ministry of Health and the Treasury, and the Modeling and Prediction Unit of the Mossad (I didn't know of its existence). Their solution is gradually freeing up the industries that employ much manpower and pay low salaries, to avoid mass unemployment (which is almost irreversible), and the high tech sector. Tourism, restaurants, entertainment, aviation, etc. are to be left to the end. One of the reasons to lift asap the lockdown is the possible increase of social tensions between economic classes and ethnias.

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